Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.023314 0.027161 0.031404 0.036424 0.042197 0.048621 0.056306
2025-10-26 0.017033 0.021880 0.027725 0.035270 0.044729 0.056170 0.071033
2025-11-02 0.012757 0.017861 0.024517 0.033785 0.046300 0.062551 0.085186
2025-11-09 0.009943 0.015035 0.022154 0.032749 0.048019 0.069109 0.100300
2025-11-16 0.008150 0.013206 0.020726 0.032602 0.050725 0.077142 0.118303
2025-11-23 0.006620 0.011435 0.019021 0.031668 0.052003 0.083126 0.133953
2025-11-30 0.005903 0.010795 0.018904 0.033085 0.056953 0.095070 0.159908
2025-12-07 0.005077 0.009805 0.018031 0.033088 0.059548 0.103528 0.181246
2025-12-14 0.004242 0.008639 0.016656 0.031985 0.060060 0.108533 0.197346
2025-12-21 0.003665 0.007844 0.015803 0.031651 0.061805 0.115721 0.217836
2025-12-28 0.003426 0.007665 0.016058 0.033385 0.067484 0.130361 0.252962
2026-01-04 0.003139 0.007333 0.015961 0.034406 0.071912 0.143153 0.286003
2026-01-11 0.002685 0.006575 0.014910 0.033411 0.072367 0.148739 0.306488
2026-01-18 0.002354 0.006029 0.014220 0.033063 0.074075 0.156916 0.332878
2026-01-25 0.002019 0.005412 0.013275 0.032023 0.074194 0.161937 0.353530
2026-02-01 0.001750 0.004902 0.012491 0.031217 0.074693 0.167750 0.376373
2026-02-08 0.001565 0.004570 0.012065 0.031167 0.076842 0.177211 0.407786
2026-02-15 0.001361 0.004146 0.011349 0.030318 0.077044 0.182481 0.430709
2026-02-22 0.001293 0.004084 0.011533 0.031702 0.082660 0.200262 0.482939
2026-03-01 0.001169 0.003837 0.011196 0.031718 0.084970 0.210803 0.519912
2026-03-08 0.001016 0.003473 0.010488 0.030664 0.084491 0.214834 0.542303
2026-03-15 0.000910 0.003232 0.010079 0.030346 0.085835 0.223298 0.575937
2026-03-22 0.000882 0.003237 0.010373 0.032014 0.092564 0.245449 0.644544